Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.942877 2.235429 2.562271 2.955424 3.416749 3.942381 4.588762
2025-03-16 1.470564 1.848391 2.313999 2.934064 3.744274 4.775301 6.199954
2025-03-23 1.221141 1.626975 2.160790 2.922360 3.993957 5.467447 7.680650
2025-03-30 1.037750 1.447392 2.014713 2.869961 4.147854 6.020529 9.036255
2025-04-06 0.928086 1.346910 1.953633 2.913866 4.427546 6.776870 10.809029
2025-04-13 0.815065 1.223161 1.837287 2.850480 4.523138 7.252411 12.207411
2025-04-20 0.763837 1.184109 1.840449 2.968399 4.917677 8.261512 14.687296
2025-04-27 0.695603 1.108915 1.775421 2.962325 5.097625 8.926718 16.669597
2025-05-04 0.656299 1.075240 1.772409 3.058324 5.466187 9.980634 19.593390
2025-05-11 0.608211 1.020915 1.727215 3.071682 5.681817 10.777919 22.157157
2025-05-18 0.565612 0.971150 1.683636 3.080764 5.887730 11.584600 24.901919
2025-05-25 0.514894 0.901645 1.596853 2.996082 5.893613 11.980225 26.805340
2025-06-01 0.478448 0.859359 1.564631 3.033061 6.196782 13.151332 31.043378
2025-06-08 0.436772 0.803837 1.503120 3.007716 6.377226 14.122925 35.166324
2025-06-15 0.402123 0.757294 1.452449 2.995814 6.583091 15.194655 39.873207
2025-06-22 0.367564 0.706793 1.387252 2.941946 6.681406 16.026646 44.181962
2025-06-29 0.346216 0.680341 1.367968 2.987078 7.024981 17.557737 51.046846
2025-07-06 0.317680 0.635848 1.305063 2.921922 7.081714 18.342857 55.876684
2025-07-13 0.306959 0.627699 1.319737 3.043137 7.643417 20.660741 66.584093
2025-07-20 0.287610 0.598769 1.284645 3.036892 7.862784 22.045676 74.599908
2025-07-27 0.277244 0.588509 1.290749 3.135584 8.394228 24.511089 87.605941
2025-08-03 0.262175 0.566036 1.265659 3.149318 8.684583 26.295945 98.742003
2025-08-10 0.248131 0.544488 1.240302 3.158655 8.964952 28.126779 110.899920